CFB Week 7 ATS Picks: Go Big or Go Home

After a fairly decent run of finishing each week with an above .500 record, this Lady finally hit the dumps with an ugly 3-9 finish last Saturday. However, I expected as much as the games I picked were a bit tougher to call. Even still I hope this isn’t the sign of a trend. 37-30 ain’t bad, but I like to be considerably above the .500 mark just to be safe, ya know?

Anyhow, it’s back to VegasInsider.com for more lines and another round of picks.

1. Utah State at Fresno State: Utah State (-3)

The Aggies are 0-2 on the road and the Bulldogs are 0-3 at home—somethings gotta give. I like Chuckie Keeton and that Aggie run game a bit better than I do Fresno State, in any category, despite this being a home game.

The Lady’s Pick: Utah State

2. Northwestern at Iowa: Iowa (-6)

Both of these teams bring one word to mind, ‘suspect’, but you have to give the edge to the Hawkeyes at home—don’t you? I’m just not seeing the same magic out of the Wildcats this season as I did in 2010, perhaps the late start for QB Dan Persa has effected the offensive rhythm or maybe the Big Ten as a whole is just down this season. Either way, there are few dominant forces to be had in this conference and this game might as well be decided by a coin flip.

The Lady’s Pick: Northwestern

3. South Florida at Connecticut: South Florida (-7.5)

The Bulls have a better quarterback and seem to be heading in the right direction under Skip Holtz. By contrast, the Huskies are a bit young and I’m not confident that they have the fire power to keep up with USF once they get rolling—and trust that they’ll be ready to redeem themselves after the shellacking they received at Pitt last week.

The Lady’s Pick: USF

4. Oklahoma State at Texas: Oklahoma State (-7.5)

Oh how the mighty hath fallen. Texas not only got taken to the woodshed by Oklahoma last weekend, they left a lot of their pride on that football field in Dallas. How on earth does a team recover from such an epic disaster? I don’t truly know yet how good these Cowboys are, but I can tell you these Longhorns are a far cry from the ones we’ve seen in the past. It will be interesting early, but I just don’t see how they’ll be able to slow down this Cowboy offense for four quarters.

The Lady’s Pick:Oklahoma State

5. Stanford at Washington State: Stanford (-21)

The Cougars haven’t fared too well against the state of California this season and Andrew Luck is starting to hit his stride.

The Lady’s Pick: Stanford

6. Alabama at Ole Miss: Alabama (-25.5)

This game shouldn’t pose too much of a problem for the Tide as the Rebels were a bit short-handed before losing four players (including two starters) for this contest. Expect a heavy dose of run early followed by a couple of huge passing plays to get the ball rolling before the Alabama defense removes all doubt.

The Lady’s Pick: Alabama

7. Louisville at Cincinnati: Cincinnati (-16)

This game gives me the willies for one reason only, I haven’t the slightest idea what Louisville team will show up. The Cardinals, though, have done a fairly decent job of keeping themselves in games defensively so I’m going to give them the benefit of the doubt and say they have a shot—albeit a small one—to derail the Bearcats winning streak.

The Lady’s Pick: Louisville

8. Florida at Auburn: Florida (-2)

Auburn is tragic against the run and Florida will likely employ a heavy dose of running on Saturday without a quality quarterback to speak of. However, don’t expect the Tigers to lay down the red carpet for these limping Gators.

The Lady’s Pick: Auburn

9. Ohio State at Illinois: Illinois (-4)

Ohio State is either awfully terrible or terribly misunderstood, either way I’m not willing to bet too much on or against them at this point. This game could turn into a high scoring affair based on what little I’ve seen of both teams this season.

The Lady’s Pick: Ohio State

10. Michigan at Michigan State: Michigan State (-2.5)

I’m just going to have to stay on the Denard Robinson train until there’s a reason to get off.

The Lady’s Pick: Michigan

11. LSU at Tennessee: LSU (-17)

Tennessee went from having a quarterback to not having a prayer after Tyler Bray went down with a hand injury. Matt Simms was watching from the sidelines for a reason–oh, and did I mention the Vols still don’t have a running game to speak of. This game was close last season, but this ain’t last season.

The Lady’s Pick: LSU

12. Arizona State at Oregon: Oregon (-14)

I have no doubt the Ducks can win without LaMichael James, the question is can they dominate? I feel like the Ducks lose a lot minus James and I look for the Sun Devils to try and take advantage early—before the Ducks have a chance to get things going.

The Lady’s Pick: Arizona State

13. South Carolina at Mississippi State: South Carolina (-3)

Dan Mullen is always trying to prove a point about his team and Steve Spurrier’s Gamecocks look ripe for the picking. Look for the Bulldogs to do what they can to remove the threat that is Marcus Lattimore, but also know that Connor Shaw isn’t Stephen Garcia—and that may actually turn out to be a good thing.

The Lady’s Pick: South Carolina

14. Clemson at Maryland: Clemson (-8)

If Tajh Boyd plays, and he’s healthy, this game won’t be close. If not…it still won’t be close.

The Lady’s Pick: Clemson

15. Florida State at Duke: Florida State (-13.5)

I don’t think as highly of the Seminoles as some might, but Duke is still a better place to be during basketball season than football. No one is looking for the ‘Noles to do much else this season, so why not take their mediocrity out on the poor Devils?

The Lady’s Pick: Florida State

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I am not a 'journalist' by trade, nor do I present myself as such. I am a wife, mother, and passionate Georgia Bulldog fan. That's it. I write. You read.